Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2163.079809 2354.932654 2550.572896 2764.707378 2992.194348 3226.359621 3485.321276
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1880.877350 2166.008897 2468.798771 2813.134900 3192.687215 3597.130913 4059.504957
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1672.182613 2009.249828 2378.201198 2809.679861 3298.019429 3831.179580 4454.828670
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1496.437263 1865.943410 2281.122598 2778.332476 3353.623307 3994.399080 4757.999239
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1386.973317 1786.081644 2244.752688 2805.245859 3465.868972 4213.973538 5119.157712
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1279.701017 1698.875977 2190.903497 2803.491860 3537.836331 4381.972476 5417.387078
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1215.244947 1657.464061 2186.298821 2855.503904 3669.492953 4617.213107 5793.184010
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1123.467435 1575.542984 2126.572544 2835.436723 3710.354351 4742.031244 6036.842227
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1080.697207 1552.080398 2136.030262 2897.717592 3849.349549 4983.329813 6419.909333
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1022.036553 1504.140985 2111.326409 2914.479302 3930.235174 5153.335283 6717.208298
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 962.625594 1451.506898 2077.356315 2916.599102 3990.631288 5296.975964 6982.132147
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 872.228241 1352.226970 1978.206852 2830.645471 3936.060077 5295.632860 7066.613581
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 856.375734 1354.851276 2013.739253 2920.982549 4108.603285 5580.864194 7511.846031
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 826.385891 1336.134843 2019.665473 2971.929012 4230.884087 5804.505677 7883.217793
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 778.927876 1289.961192 1986.085393 2968.323756 4280.858522 5936.040136 8139.221288
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 724.995819 1231.440686 1932.807944 2935.642411 4290.564273 6014.786889 8327.790758
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 695.321238 1206.802207 1925.127632 2963.701313 4379.878948 6195.673977 8647.204440
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 658.092941 1168.830933 1896.857562 2961.872741 4428.159422 6323.000012 8898.327809
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 640.670890 1159.934222 1909.279147 3016.091305 4551.952775 6549.383402 9278.795706
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 601.938143 1116.063639 1869.345599 2995.173989 4572.443783 6639.606023 9482.697952
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 590.375946 1114.133261 1890.175753 3060.088581 4710.584388 6885.843240 9891.664513
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 566.231169 1090.862444 1878.399449 3077.556722 4782.918137 7044.913434 10187.345662
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 539.395903 1061.835914 1856.783757 3079.765791 4833.365904 7174.595300 10444.846066